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Cake day: July 22nd, 2024

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  • Also Islam rejects intercessors. We pray to Allah s.w.t. and only to him. We asked for forgiveness for our sins from him and him alone. The prophets and messangers a.s. were all humans of best character and faith, which is why they were honored but also challenged with their tasks.

    This is why countries like China are particularly oppressive towards Islam. The faith is structured in a way that makes it more difficult to coopt it into exerting control over people for a government. Unfortunately we see (partly) successfull attempts at it like in Saudi Arabia. But they also control two of the holyest sites with Meqqa and Medina.

    If i understand correctly China is oppressing Buddhism more strongly too because it is also not well controllable. But i have to admit that i know little about the details of buddhist spirituality/religion.




  • That is not known. It is known that the IDF shot at many of their civillians in Hamas captivity either with complete disregard for what they are shooting, or deliberately to avoid them being used as bargaining in hostage dealy.

    The exact numbers however are unknown and before there can be an independent investigation, the extent will never be published. I wouldnt be suprised if the IDF and Israeli government have a good idea of the numbers, but they for sure will try to bury them.










  • Their sheer speed makes ballistic weapons challenging to intercept, but the initial reports of no fatalities within Israel and one in the West Bank would suggest despite the numbers of missiles launched it was a military failure

    This part irks me quite a bit. Like in the retaliation against the US after the assassination of an Iranian general invited to a diplomatic talk, Iran seems to avoid causing casualties to show strength, w.o. pushing for escalation. This is quite opposite to Israel who makes a point of indiscriminately slaughtering thousands of civilians in their actions, since their goal is to escalate into a great war in West Asia, where the US has to do their dirty work.


  • If the only tool you have is a hammer…

    It shows what a failed kind of people they are, both intellectually and ethically, if the only language they speak is violence.

    Going into a war with Iran will set the entire region ablaze. The only thing the Iraq war did, was increasing influence for Iran. The only thing the Afghanistan war did, was a 20 year sabbatical for the Taliban.

    The US surely can destroy major Iranian infrastructure like oil production and probably cripple its conventional military capabilities. But then what?

    In the process Iran would destroy the oil production of US allied nations.
    We would see years if not decades of Iraq style insurgencies.
    Tens of millions if not hundreds of millions of people would become refugees, with the pressure on Europe easily having the potential to break the Union and turn the states into full blown fascist hellholes. Russia would use the distraction and the high oil price income to deliver the final blow to Ukraine.
    China could feel emboldened or threatened to push for its military ambitions in the South China sea and Taiwan.
    Justified hatred for the US in all of the Middle East would be ensured for another three generations to come.
    The resulting global economic crisis would plunge large swaths of Americans and Europeans into poverty (and many more people around the world, that the West doesn’t care for unfortunately).

    Meanwhile i don’t see anything positive coming out of it. I don’t see how it would stabilize the region in the long run, help economic development or create conditions under which better diplomatic ties grow.


  • The EU car industry, in particular German carmakers are at the verge of a crisis because they lobbied so successfully against more regulations, that they fell behind on innovation. Now China is swooping up the EV market.

    The problem with regulation is never regulation. It is a problem of inefficient bureaucratic processes of enforcing it. In order to have efficient processes you need to invest well into the public sector, which is something Neoliberals like Macron fiercely oppose.


  • It would hurt much less, if the countries wouldn’t get fucked in trade “agreements” for their agricultural products and resources.

    This aspect is kind of where the whole “free market, everyone specializes, everyone wins” theory fails, as the “less developed” economies get pushed around diplomatically and militarily, rather than being allowed to participate in a fair market.




  • With that i also read, that the gulf states are concerned, that Iran might target their Oil production and close off the street of Hormus if the US attacks Iran.

    https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/lebanese-army-fires-israel-hezbollah-strikes-invading

    “Our response will be solely directed at the aggressor. Should any country render assistance to the aggressor, it shall likewise be deemed an accomplice and a legitimate target," Iran’s mission said.

    Concerned Gulf Arab officials told their Iranian counterparts they would remain neutral in the conflict between Iran and Israel, as they look to prevent spillover into their territories.

    Reuters reported that ministers from Gulf Arab states delivered the message to Iran at a meeting of Asian nations hosted by Qatar, worried about potential Iranian attacks on their oil facilities.

    “The Gulf states think it’s unlikely that Iran will strike their oil facilities, but the Iranians are dropping hints they might from unofficial sources. It’s a tool the Iranians have against the US and the global economy,” Ali Shihabi, a Saudi commentator close to the royal court, told Reuters.

    I think this would be a gigantic strategic mistake to provoke by the US administration. If the oil price hikes and the US gets dragged into a great war in West Asia it will throttle the American economy and probably kill all prospects of the Dems winning in November. Meanwhile Putin will roll in money, stabilizing his economy on the one hand, and making use of the shifted US focus and arms prioritization, effectively sacrificing Ukraine to him.


  • Israel has fronts in Gaza, Westbank, Lebanon and conflict with Yemens Houthis and Iran+ Iran backed militias in Iraq and Syria. People in Jordan are getting fed up and celebrating people who attacked the Israeli occupation forces in the Westbank.

    Israel decided to escalate things in the Westbank and now with Hezbollah, where before the conflict remained on a low, but also provoking Iran and Syria with attacks in the recent months.

    Most Analysts say that this is because the IDF and Netanyahu need some wins, after failing to achieve the stated goals “destroy Hamas” and “bring back the Hostages” militarily and discontent has risen. Now with killing some Hezbollah leaders public opinion became favorable again. Hamas is countering that with pointing out the strategic failure in Gaza through this terroristic attack.